This article does not provide answers to our current political crisis but rather seeks to provide brief analysis of some of the issues we are facing. My doors are however open to further analysis and way forward.
SCENARIO ONE
Lawyer Ousainou Darboe and co were last Thursday denied bail even though all the charges against them are bailable but one thing I want to clearly state in this analysis is that Yaya Jammeh, knowing fully well that Lawyer Ousainou Darboe is the only obstacle in the coming presidential elections, is determine to keep them in jail until after the elections which must not be allowed. In the same scenario the other opposition leaders are seeing this as a blessing in disguise for them but I can confidently state that none of them can win Jammeh through the ballot box. I don’t think the United Democratic Party loyalists will change their loyality to any of these parties when Darboe and Co have given up their lives for the Gambia. I can state that these other parties are enabling Jammeh to be in power for the rest of his life so he can declare himself king of the Islamic Republic of the Gambia.
Lawyer Ousainou Darboe and co were last Thursday denied bail even though all the charges against them are bailable but one thing I want to clearly state in this analysis is that Yaya Jammeh, knowing fully well that Lawyer Ousainou Darboe is the only obstacle in the coming presidential elections, is determine to keep them in jail until after the elections which must not be allowed. In the same scenario the other opposition leaders are seeing this as a blessing in disguise for them but I can confidently state that none of them can win Jammeh through the ballot box. I don’t think the United Democratic Party loyalists will change their loyality to any of these parties when Darboe and Co have given up their lives for the Gambia. I can state that these other parties are enabling Jammeh to be in power for the rest of his life so he can declare himself king of the Islamic Republic of the Gambia.
SCENARIO TWO
Until I pen this article, change trumpeting civilians and the security forces are still not on the same page on the current happening. I feel we should talk to the security forces in a language they will easily understand that the Gambia belongs to all of us, not the ICC language and publishing their identity or threatening them with peace keeping mission bans. All the countries that had successful popular uprising never ever made such issues known to the public. If we continue to do it we will never get the uniformed men and women on our side. When one does a critical analysis of the compositions of security forces, one will find out that their level of education is low. Besides, many of them did not undergo “a professional training” that a security personnel should have gone through. Instead they have been brainwashed to obey President Jammeh. Rather than scaring higher echelons with above mentioned points, we should make them feel at home otherwise they will drag their feet. Our failure to lure them to our side means the military will prefer to have Yahya Jammeh and enjoy peacekeeping mission than support a change that will lead to their ICC indictment. They will do whatever it takes to avoid the ICC and to continue going on missions.
Until I pen this article, change trumpeting civilians and the security forces are still not on the same page on the current happening. I feel we should talk to the security forces in a language they will easily understand that the Gambia belongs to all of us, not the ICC language and publishing their identity or threatening them with peace keeping mission bans. All the countries that had successful popular uprising never ever made such issues known to the public. If we continue to do it we will never get the uniformed men and women on our side. When one does a critical analysis of the compositions of security forces, one will find out that their level of education is low. Besides, many of them did not undergo “a professional training” that a security personnel should have gone through. Instead they have been brainwashed to obey President Jammeh. Rather than scaring higher echelons with above mentioned points, we should make them feel at home otherwise they will drag their feet. Our failure to lure them to our side means the military will prefer to have Yahya Jammeh and enjoy peacekeeping mission than support a change that will lead to their ICC indictment. They will do whatever it takes to avoid the ICC and to continue going on missions.
One of the biggest security dilemmas is that Jammeh has recruited 700 NON-GAMBIANS AS STATE GUARD OFFICERS and these are the people in charge of the armory which has paralyzed the few officers yawning for change.
SCENARIO THREE
In any popular uprising number matters a lot which is one of the challenges we are facing. The Gambia has a population of about 1.8 million people out of which about 300,000 lives in the diaspora and these are the intellectuals who really know our problems, the 1.5 million back home consist of the elderly about 3%, the children inclusive, those working for the regime most of whom will not join us in the streets- one, some of them want to secure their positions and two, some lack choice because of poverty and limited opportunities but the latter will likely join when they see more people on the ground. Another challenge in getting large crowds is low level of awareness. The Gambia is like North Korea we all know that access to information is stiff and all they see is Jammeh getting fake awards, giving the security forces OLD PAINTED BUSES, celebrations in Kanila and little do an average Gambian get the kind of information the people in the diaspora get.
In any popular uprising number matters a lot which is one of the challenges we are facing. The Gambia has a population of about 1.8 million people out of which about 300,000 lives in the diaspora and these are the intellectuals who really know our problems, the 1.5 million back home consist of the elderly about 3%, the children inclusive, those working for the regime most of whom will not join us in the streets- one, some of them want to secure their positions and two, some lack choice because of poverty and limited opportunities but the latter will likely join when they see more people on the ground. Another challenge in getting large crowds is low level of awareness. The Gambia is like North Korea we all know that access to information is stiff and all they see is Jammeh getting fake awards, giving the security forces OLD PAINTED BUSES, celebrations in Kanila and little do an average Gambian get the kind of information the people in the diaspora get.
SCENARIO FOUR
The online media is doing a wonderful job but knowing how much of the Gambia’s budget is being spent on security sometimes when I listen to some analysis it occurs to me if there is no protocol in journalism called censorship. We sometimes discuss all we want to do to get rid of jammeh on air while his men are taking note and strategizing how to counter our plans. I think there is need for a unified media committee to coordinate our activities. Having said that we do get information from you which is enlightening us daily. On May 3rd, I heard a shocking story on online news analysis that the government of the Gambia is planning to get poison from Russia in order to get rid of Darboe, I would like to work with Kairo Radio Panelists on that program to put this to the attention of the Russian Government if they have evidence of such transaction because I can confidently state that the Russian government is aware of our suffering and they should be able to act on this issue.
Thank you
The online media is doing a wonderful job but knowing how much of the Gambia’s budget is being spent on security sometimes when I listen to some analysis it occurs to me if there is no protocol in journalism called censorship. We sometimes discuss all we want to do to get rid of jammeh on air while his men are taking note and strategizing how to counter our plans. I think there is need for a unified media committee to coordinate our activities. Having said that we do get information from you which is enlightening us daily. On May 3rd, I heard a shocking story on online news analysis that the government of the Gambia is planning to get poison from Russia in order to get rid of Darboe, I would like to work with Kairo Radio Panelists on that program to put this to the attention of the Russian Government if they have evidence of such transaction because I can confidently state that the Russian government is aware of our suffering and they should be able to act on this issue.
Thank you
A Concerned Gambian
Ends
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